Policy makers, researchers, and the general public would often like to have demographic estimates for small populations: for instance, they would like to know how life expectancy varies between provinces or between ethnic groups. Standard demographic techniques do not work well with small samples, and demographers are normally reluctant to provide estimates for small populations. Statisticians, have, however, developed methods for dealing with small samples that lead to sensible estimates, even for small populations. Moreover, the estimates come with measures of uncertainty, which allows users to decide how much trust to place in the estimates. This presentation will provide an introduction to demographic estimation for small populations. The presentation will be non-technical, with many graphs and few equations.
Moderator: Dr.Piyawat Katewongsa
September 2, 2015 Time: 12:30 – 13:30 hrs. Room Srabua 109